Preseason Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.3#42
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.7% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 54.0% 63.3% 36.0%
.500 or above in Conference 55.6% 61.4% 44.4%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.3% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 3.4% 7.1%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round5.2% 6.4% 2.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Neutral) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 410 - 314 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 253   UNC Wilmington W 80-76 66%    
  Nov 27, 2020 281   Troy W 83-77 69%    
  Nov 28, 2020 226   @ UNC Asheville L 83-84 50%    
  Dec 03, 2020 146   Bowling Green W 83-82 53%    
  Dec 06, 2020 304   Tennessee Tech W 81-71 82%    
  Dec 12, 2020 309   @ N.C. A&T W 86-81 66%    
  Dec 15, 2020 99   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 73-82 21%    
  Dec 18, 2020 162   @ College of Charleston L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 30, 2020 142   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 02, 2021 317   The Citadel W 94-82 85%    
  Jan 06, 2021 83   Furman L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 09, 2021 301   @ Samford W 88-84 63%    
  Jan 13, 2021 84   UNC Greensboro L 75-80 34%    
  Jan 16, 2021 183   @ Mercer L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 20, 2021 142   East Tennessee St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 23, 2021 148   @ Wofford L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 27, 2021 276   @ VMI W 80-78 58%    
  Jan 30, 2021 301   Samford W 91-81 79%    
  Feb 03, 2021 158   Chattanooga W 80-78 55%    
  Feb 06, 2021 317   @ The Citadel W 91-85 69%    
  Feb 10, 2021 276   VMI W 83-75 75%    
  Feb 13, 2021 83   @ Furman L 73-84 18%    
  Feb 17, 2021 158   @ Chattanooga L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 20, 2021 148   Wofford W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 24, 2021 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 72-83 19%    
  Feb 27, 2021 183   Mercer W 79-76 59%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 4.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.1 1.7 0.2 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 14.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.3 5.8 3.9 0.9 0.1 14.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 3.2 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.2 6.1 8.7 10.2 11.6 12.1 11.5 10.6 8.0 6.1 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.4% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.6% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 42.1% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 11.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 96.7% 60.0% 36.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.7%
17-1 0.4% 51.6% 35.3% 16.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 25.2%
16-2 1.0% 44.9% 33.5% 11.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 17.2%
15-3 2.0% 22.8% 21.0% 1.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 2.3%
14-4 3.8% 20.5% 19.4% 1.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.3%
13-5 6.1% 14.1% 13.9% 0.1% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2 0.2%
12-6 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.3 0.1%
11-7 10.6% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.0
10-8 11.5% 5.2% 5.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.9
9-9 12.1% 2.9% 2.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.8
8-10 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.4
7-11 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.1
6-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 4.2% 4.2
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 5.1% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 94.6 0.3%